Will 2019 Be More Dangerous for the U.S. and China?

Another naval incident in the South China Sea has the U.S. claiming freedom of navigation and China claiming provocation. Military conflict remains unlikely, but relations between China and the U.S. are fraying beyond just the trade war. The continued economic clash with Washington coupled with a Chinese economic slowdown, policy uncertainty in Washington, and the possibility of provocative actions by Taiwan or Japan could precipitate more serious conflict.