Refiners Stung by Venezuela Sanctions Face U.S. Gulf Oil Exodus

Bloomberg:

Crude exports from the Gulf of Mexico are picking up at the worst time for American refiners.

Rising production and falling freight rates are behind a surge of overseas shipments of Mars crude, a medium sour oil produced in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. This comes as sanctions on Venezuela and OPEC’s production cut agreement are limiting the availability of similar types of oil that U.S. refiners are optimized to process.

AMLO’s Battle Against Fuel Theft

World Pipelines: 

Mexico’s new President, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, hoped to kill two birds with one stone: reduce theft from gasoline pipelines and diminish Mexico’s reliance on gasoline imports from the US. Instead, the recent pipeline closures and related explosion that resulted in the deaths of at least 96 people have caused a spike in gasoline imports from the US in January. This increase in imports, notes ESAI Energy’s recent Latin America Watch, comes even as supply shortages have dented demand for motor gasoline by as much as 40 000 bpd this month.

Jet keeps driving European distillate demand growth in 2019

Hellenic Shipping:

According to ESAI Energy’s recently released Europe Watch Products, European jet fuel demand will rise by just 30 000 bpd this year, compared with 60 000 and 80 000 bpd in 2018 and 2017, respectively, as growth in both passenger and freight air traffic continues to slow. Nevertheless, jet fuel will continue to account for the vast majority of total distillate demand growth in the region.

Jet keeps driving European distillate demand growth in 2019

Hydrocarbon Engineering:

According to ESAI Energy’s recently released Europe Watch Products, European jet fuel demand will rise by just 30 000 bpd this year, compared with 60 000 and 80 000 bpd in 2018 and 2017, respectively, as growth in both passenger and freight air traffic continues to slow. Nevertheless, jet fuel will continue to account for the vast majority of total distillate demand growth in the region.

U.S. Gasoline Exports Continue to Grow in 2019

Hellenic Shipping News:

According to ESAI Energy’s recently released One-Year Global Fuels Outlook, the U.S. gasoline surplus will expand by roughly 80,000 b/d next year as demand continues to plateau and output keeps rising. Since first moving into surplus in 2016 the U.S. gasoline balance has risen steadily to roughly 350,000 b/d this year. As a result of a growing surplus, combined U.S. exports of finished gasoline and motor gasoline blending components will rise to over 1.0 million b/d next year.

ESAI Energy Expects U.S. Gasoline Exports to Maintain Growth

World Pipelines:

According to ESAI Energy’s recently released One-Year Global Fuels Outlook, the US gasoline surplus will expand by roughly 80 000 bpd next year as demand continues to plateau and output keeps rising. Since first moving into surplus in 2016 the US gasoline balance has risen steadily to roughly 350 000 bpd this year. As a result of a growing surplus, combined US exports of finished gasoline and motor gasoline blending components will rise to over 1.0 million bpd next year.

China’s Oil Demand Will Surprise to the Upside in 2019

Hellenic Shipping News:

Contrary to some observers who focus intently on trade data as a proxy for demand, China’s total oil product demand rose by only 150,000 b/d in 2018. This is part of the reason why the global oil market is so weak as the year comes to an end. China’s oil demand will surprise again in 2019, but this time by rising by over 400,000 b/d, according to ESAI Energy’s latest China Watch. This rebound is comprised mainly of non-marketed naphtha at two new petrochemical integrated refineries, as well as LPG demand from a wave of PDH investment.