US LPG Exports Set to Climb

Oil and Gas Journal: Renewed LPG demand growth in India and China will lead to growth of US exports later this year, according to ESAI Energy’s newly published Global NGL Outlook. Since exports have bumped up against capacity constraints, the timely completion of new LPG export terminals in the US and Canada will be vital to this export growth. Stronger demand has implications for propane and butane prices, whose discounts to naphtha have widened considerably.

Stumbling into Military Conflict

Hellenic Shipping News: The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) of OPEC met to assess the oil market and the impact of the OPEC+ production restraint. The committee commended the “agile and flexible approach” of the OPEC+ countries, but made no specific recommendations beyond continuing to monitor the oil market until the next meeting in June. That JMMC meeting will take place just before the full Ministerial meeting at which the member states will decide whether to continue the current production restraint. The JMMC communique pointed out “critical uncertainties” such as trade negotiations, monetary policy and geopolitical challenges. Among those geopolitical challenges are rising tensions between Iran and the U.S. since the non-renewal of sanctions waivers early this month. The possibility that the two countries could stumble into direct military conflict is rising.

Global LPG Market to Look to US in 2019

Hellenic Shipping News: Renewed demand growth in China and reduced exports from the Middle East and Russia will shape the outlook for the international LPG market in 2020, according to according to ESAI Energy’s newly published Global NGL Two Year Outlook. The implications are bullish for U.S. exporters, who can take advantage of opportunities to place more of North America’s excess LPG in key export markets.

Russian Crude Oil Exports Seen Rising Despite OPEC+ Deal

Bloomberg:Russia says its on track this month to fullyimplement the production cuts promised in the OPEC+ accord, yetits crude exports will be almost as high as before the deal,according to consultant ESAI Energy LLC. The irony of thesituation “will not be lost on the Saudis,” ESAI’s principalanalyst Andrew Reed said in a note. As the Middle Easternkingdom keeps a tight lid on its own shipments, Russia will sendmillions of extra barrels overseas in April as its domesticrefineries process less fuel, partly due to prolongedmaintenance at a major refinery owned by Rosneft PJSC, he said.

Oil Futures Up on Supply Shortfall

Progressive Farmer: Under OPEC+ accord, Russia agreed to shoulder more than 50% of the total non-OPEC cuts, which stands at 400,000 bpd. However, it has since struggled to reach the agreed quota, due to reported opposition from domestic oil industry. According to ESAI Energy, Russian crude exports are expected to reach a multi-year high of 5.7 million bpd in April, driven by greater flow of Russian crude into Asia in a bid to expand market share. Higher export rate comes as Russian oil producing companies finally achieved full compliance with their quota of 228,000 bpd cut in March.

Russian Crude Exports to Soar in April

Oilfield Technology: Russian crude exports will reach a multiyear high of 5.7 million bpd in April, 400 000 bpd higher than average exports in the previous 5 months, according to a Market Alert released by ESAI Energy. Among other things, unusually high exports have implications for market share in Asia. As the past few years’ fluctuations in Russian exports have shown, unusually high exports are accompanied by greater flows of Russian crude into Asia.

Russian Crude Exports Soar in April

World Pipelines: Russian crude exports will reach a multiyear high of 5.7 million bpd in April, 400 000 bpd higher than average exports in the previous five months, according to a Market Alert released by ESAI Energy. Among other things, unusually high exports have implications for market share in Asia. As the past few years’ fluctuations in Russian exports have shown, unusually high exports are accompanied by greater flows of Russian crude into Asia.