Alt Fuels/Vehicle Technology

In 2009, ESAI Energy completed its hallmark study, Scatter Shot Reform, with integrated analysis of new fuel and engine technologies, quantifying their impact on transport fuel demand through 2025. ESAI Energy’s analysis showed that competing and most often conflicting reform will result in a vastly different fuels landscape than the comparatively simple gasoline and diesel market in place today. The study concluded that the sector will most likely not develop in a manner envisioned by any stakeholder in the current process.

Alternative Fuels:  ESAI Energy uses the same country-by-country approach to analyzing and forecasting supply and demand of alternative fuels as it does for the petroleum market. A myriad of factors ranging from transport fuel demand to price competitiveness and policy influences use of alternative fuels. Our analysis and forecasts of alternative fuel use takes into account specification changes, government policy, production technology, feedstock prices, international trade, and the cost-competitiveness of conventional fuels.

Our ongoing coverage of the global alternative fuels demand, supply and prices focuses on the growth and development of first-and second-generation biofuels technologies on a monthly basis two years out and annually 25 years out.

Vehicle Technologies: ESAI Energy examines the convergence of dramatically tightening fuel economy standards, the rise of greater gasoline engine efficiency, trends in dieselization and diesel technology, fuel switching, LNG, the expansion of hybrid-electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicles. Projections of future transport fuel demand carefully incorporate our assumptions about future vehicle technology trends.