Global NGL Outlook

The Global NGL Outlook provides independent, data-driven analysis of ethane, LPG, and naphtha/pentanes plus markets with supply-demand fundamentals and pricing broken out by region. Each report includes an insight that analyzes a market moving development, as well as updates of investment in petrochemical, fractionation, and export capacity. Clients have direct access to analysts to ask questions. The report and the dataset are updated monthly and include a 12-month outlook each month, two-year outlooks in April and October and a five-year outlook in July.

 

NEW! China’s Changing Octane Balance – Learn about the wide-ranging implications of changes to how Chinese refineries produce gasoline production



Tables Included with Publication (Excel)

Price Forecasts

  • Composite NGL – Mt Belvieu: Ethane, Propane, Butane, Natural Gasoline
  • Propane and Butane – NW Europe, Asia Spot, Saudi Contract, Mt Belvieu, Conway, Edmonton, Sarnia
  • Natural Gasoline & Condensate – Mt Belvieu natural gasoline, Canada Condensate
  • Naphtha Spreads – Singapore/Dubai, NWE/Brent, USGC Heavy, Full-range, LSR / WTI Houston

N. America Ethane Fundamentals & Trade (U.S. by PADD & Canada)

  • North America Demand, Supply and Balance by PADD
  • U.S. Exports by Destination – Total Exports, Canada – Vantage, Canada – Mariner West, Norway, United Kingdom, India, other destinations

Global Ethane Fundamentals (Global Total, US/Canada, Latin America, Europe, FSU, Asia-Pacific, Middle East, Africa)

  • Global Demand, Supply and Balance

Global LPG Fundamentals & Trade (Global Total, US/Canada, Latin America, Europe, FSU, Asia-Pacific, Middle East, Africa)

  • Global Demand and Demand by Sector
  • Global Supply and Supply from Refining and Fractionation, Balance
  • Inventories (Absolute and Days of Cover)
  • Selected Country Fundamentals – US Propane, US Butane, Mexico, China, India, Japan, South Korea, Russia
  • China Propane Imports by Source – Gross & Net Imports, USA, Middle East, Asia, Africa, Europe, Latin America
  • China Butane Imports by Source – Gross & Net Imports, USA, Middle East, Asia, Africa, Europe, Latin America
  • U.S. Propane Exports by Destination – Gross Exports, China, Japan, Other Asia, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, Africa
  • U.S. Butane Exports by Destination – Gross Exports, China, Japan, Other Asia, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, Africa
  • Detailed regional and country sectoral demand and supply of propane and butane available on request
  • Specialized analysis of developments in China affecting its LPG balance and trade

Naphtha/C5+ Fundamentals (Global Total, US/Canada, Latin America, Europe, FSU, Asia-Pacific, Middle East, Africa)

  • Global Demand, Supply and Balance
  • Inventories (Absolute and Days of Cover)
  • Selected Country Fundamentals – Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, India, China

North America Pentanes Plus Fundamentals (U.S. by PADD & Canada)

  • North America Demand, Supply and Balance

Specialized Data & Analysis

  • Propane & Butane Data — Separate propane and butane balances, country-level and regional-level data available on request
  • Chinese Gasoline Blending and Gasoline Units — analysis and forecasts current and upcoming changes in blending components, including impact on China’s LPG balance and trade
  • Long-term Forecasts — NGL supply and demand to 2045